Employment survey ranks Spokane worst metro area out of 100

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by SHAWN CHITNIS & KREM.com

NWCN.com

Posted on November 8, 2012 at 7:21 PM

Updated Monday, Nov 11 at 4:05 AM

SPOKANE--Another employment survey offers a dismal outlook for people looking for jobs in Spokane, but some local economists say they disagree.
   
“Manpower” released a survey ranking Spokane as “Worst in the Nation” to find a job for the end of 2012.  The survey for the fourth quarter of 2012 shows a flat job outlook for the Spokane metro area.  It showed the same percentage of companies planned to either increase or decrease their number of employees.

A similar survey from one year ago shows Spokane once again got a bad name because the survey found more companies were planning to downsize than hire.
Local economists say there are issues with this survey and its approach. 

They point to the small sample size, the absence of counting exactly how many jobs a company is adding or losing and how important some industries are over others in our area.  For example, if one company says they're going to add 100 new jobs but another says they're going to lose 50, the survey treats them as the same.  It doesn’t factor in that there would still be a net increase in hires.

Manpower says they poll at least 143 companies in each metro area, totaling more than 18,000 nationwide to come up with its results.

The regional economist for our area says their sample size is less than one percent.  He uses 86% of payroll data to create his economic forecasts.
 

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