SEATTLE – A new statewide poll from the University of Washington finds that a ballot initiative to privatize liquor sales has a good chance of passing, voters are leaning toward its first Republican governor since 1985 and most Washingtonians think at least some tax increases are needed to fix the budget deficit.
The Washington poll involved 938 registered voters and was conducted over a three-week period in October. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.
Initiative 1183, privatizing liquor sales and closing state liquor stores
- 50.3 percent either plan to vote yes or are leaning toward yes
- 42.8 percent either plan to vote no or are leaning toward no
- 6.9 percent are undecided
- 60 percent of Republicans say yes; 51 percent of Democrats say no; 49 percent of Independents say yes
- Men (54 percent) are more likely than women (46 percent) to vote yes
Initiative 1125, prohibiting toll revenues
- 41.4 percent either plan to vote yes or are leaning toward yes
- 40 percent either plan to vote no or are leaning toward no
- 18.7 percent undecided
- 52 percent of Republicans say yes; 52 percent of Democrats say no; 44 percent of Independents say yes compared to 40 percent who say no
2012 Governor’s race – Jay Inslee (D) vs. Rob McKenna (R)
- 43.9 percent either plan to vote for McKenna or leaning toward him
- 38.4 percent either plan to vote for Inslee or leaning toward him
- 44 percent of Independents favor McKenna while 28 percent favor Inslee; 28 percent are undecided
- Puget Sound region is almost split (45 percent for Inslee, 40 percent for McKenna) while Eastern
- Washington heavily favors McKenna (51 percent to 26 percent).
How to fix the state’s budget deficit?
- 39 percent – Spending cuts and tax increases
- 24 percent – Only spending cuts
- 20 percent – Mostly spending cuts
- 9 percent – Mostly tax increases
- 3 percent – Only tax increases
- 5 percent – Don’t know
The poll also measured the favorability ratings of elected officials. Pres. Obama, and Sen. Maria Cantwell, who are up for re-election next year, had favorability ratings over 50 percent. Gov Chris Gregoire, McKenna, Inslee, Perry, Romney, the Washington state Legislature and Congress all had favorability ratings below 45 percent.
Congress had a favorability rating of just 14 percent.
2010 Presidential Race
Pres. Barack Obama vs. Gov. Rick Perry
- 54 percent either plan to vote for Obama or leaning toward him
- 40.7 percent either plan to vote for Perry or leaning toward him
- 5.3 percent undecided
- Independents favoring Obama 53 percent 37 percent
Pres. Barack Obama vs. Mitt Romney
- 50.2 percent either plan to vote for Obama or leaning toward him
- 40.7 percent either plan to vote for Romney or leaning toward him
- 9.1 percent undecided
- Independents favor Obama 48 percent to 35 percent
Who do you trust more to fix the economy?
- 41 percent – Obama and the Democrats
- 37 percent – Republicans
- 17 percent – Neither
- 4 percent – Don’t Know
- 2 percent – Both
- 47 percent disapprove of the 2010 health care reform law; 37 percent approve
- 64 percent approve of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell repeal; 24 percent disapprove
- 48 percent say legalize marijuana; 42 percent disapprove